2021 Atlantic hurricane season

Tropical storm Elsa weakened from its once hurricane status over the weekend and is now heading for a Cuba landfall before it moves into the Florida Straits. But despite being weaker, tropical storm Elsa still has the potential to be disruptive in the state and cause damage.

We now have our first hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic tropical storm season, as tropical storm Elsa has intensified as anticipated and now becomes hurricane Elsa, with the forecast still bringing the storm towards Florida over the coming days.

Tropical storm Elsa has now formed in the Atlantic and become the earliest fifth named storm on record, while only just missing another record for forming the furthest east this early in the season and is now forecast to track towards Florida and the Gulf Coast by early next week.

Tropical depression four which sits just off the South Carolina coast is expected to become the fourth named storm, as tropical storm Danny, of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season before it makes landfall later today to the south-west of Charleston.

Tropical storm Claudette is now forecast as likely to be named in the coming hours and make the first landfall of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, with the latest forecasts suggesting that sustained winds could near 45 mph, while torrential rain, flooding and some tornadoes are forecast for the Louisiana and inland region.

Tropical storm and hurricane research meteorologists at Colorado State University have today issued an updated forecast for activity during the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, continuing to call for an above-average season with 8 hurricanes, 4 of them expected to become major storms.

For our latest Artemis Live interview we were joined by Jeff Waters and Ben Brookes from catastrophe risk modeller RMS, to discuss the latest update to the RMS North Atlantic hurricane model and how the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market should think about this evolution in modelling hurricane risk.

Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has increased its forecast for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season in its latest update, with the team now predicting 9 Atlantic hurricanes, 4 of which are forecast to be major Category 3 or greater.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has now issued its first forecast for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, saying that it expects a 60% chance of above-normal activity levels, but not to the degree seen a year ago.

The UK’s Met Office has forecast an average hurricane season in the Atlantic basin for 2021, with storm and hurricane levels expected to roughly match the 1991 to 2020 average.