Atlantic Hurricane Season

The Colorado State University (CSU) tropical meteorology team has issued the first update to its seasonal forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, now calling for slightly less activity in terms of named storms and hurricanes and giving reduced probabilities of landfall in key regions, citing the increased likelihood of a moderate to strong El […]

Given that early forecasts suggest a slightly below-average Atlantic hurricane season for 2026, Fitch Ratings has indicated that U.S. property and casualty (P&C) re/insurers are well positioned to absorb losses from a large event, with the agency noting that Florida remains a key focus, even though market conditions have improved for protection buyers heading into […]

Isaac Anthony, CEO of CCRIF SPC, the regional parametric risk pool for the Caribbean and Central America, has announced that the organisation grew its coverage by 9% to US $1.57 billion, and introduced new members ahead of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.

As per Solidum Partners, the onset of an El Niño pattern does not translate into a straightforward rule of thumb for ILS managers and their clients. While a less active hurricane season typically implies downward pressure on nominal spreads, the firm highlights that a broader array of market forces, including capital supply-demand dynamics and total […]

Verisk, the data analytics and technology provider, has announced a major update to its Tropical Cyclone Model for the United States, delivered through its new cloud-native Synergy Studio platform, providing a more realistic assessment of individual risk and portfolio exposure across insurance, reinsurance, and capital markets.

The latest forecasts of predicted activity levels for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season continue to point to a below-average number of tropical storms and hurricanes forming this year, with updates from Tropical Storm Risk and the UK Met Office available today.

US weather agency NOAA anticipates an 82% chance of El Niño between May to July and with the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation seen to moderate tropical activity in the Atlantic, the first forecast from NOAA for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is for a 55% chance of below-normal activity levels.

As the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season approaches, the government of Cayman is considering expanding its hurricane protection by turning to the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market to potentially issue its own catastrophe bond, while simultaneously expanding its parametric insurance coverage too, Cayman Compass reports.

While the broader catastrophe bond market often adopts a wait-and-see posture until the Atlantic hurricane season passes, the current 2026 landscape suggests that the most compelling value may be found during this window of peak uncertainty, according to Ethan Powell, Principal & Chief Investment Officer of Brookmont Capital Management, LLC.

While early forecasts for this year’s Atlantic hurricane season appear mixed, Dr. Benjamin Hohermuth of Schroders Capital ILS suggests that for insurance-linked securities (ILS) portfolios, the regional message is far more important than basin-wide totals. This regional focus creates vital scope for portfolio repositioning ahead of the season and for tactical trading as conditions evolve.