el nino


Hurricane season now forecast above average, El Niño turns neutral

Forecasts for the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season have slowly been increasing, in terms of numbers of storms, as forecast teams have included the activity so far and taken into account that El Niño is now not expected to be an influence through the rest of this year. The Climate Prediction Center read the full article →

Immediate likelihood of El Niño developing has passed: Australia’s BOM

Interesting news for anyone interested in the forecasts for Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane activity levels, which let's face it includes the majority of the ILS and reinsurance markets. The chance of El Niño developing in the coming months appears to have dropped considerably, by one metric. El Niño is understood read the full article →

TSR ups hurricane activity forecast, Accuweather warns on landfall potential

Tropical Storm Risk has increased its forecast for 2017 Atlantic Tropical Storm & Hurricane Season activity, joining others in predicting a more active year. Meanwhile Accuweather is warning of landfall risks for the United States coastline and early season storm potential. Earlier this year, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the climatological research read the full article →

NOAA gives 45% chance of above average hurricane season in 2017

The U.S. National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its forecast for the 2017 Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season, saying that factors lead it to predict an above average level of activity for the season. NOAA is the second forecaster to opt for an above average forecast for this read the full article →

2017 hurricane season forecast upped to above average by Weather Co.

The Weather Company has revised its forecast for the 2017 Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season, saying that the latest indications and data now suggest a year with activity levels a little above average. The Weather Company now forecasts that the 2017 season will see a slightly above average 14 named read the full article →

Peru to expand El Niño agricultural catastrophe insurance cover

The Peruvian government and the Ministry of Agriculture have chosen to expand the country’s El Seguro Agrario Catastrófico (SAC), or the Agricultural Catastrophe Insurance scheme, to include five more regions, with the launch of an international tender, according to reports. Reports in peruthisweek.com underline the recent impact of El Niño on read the full article →

NOAA forecasts more hurricanes in 2016 season, raises prediction

The U.S. NOAA continues to push for a more active 2016 Atlantic Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season, increasing its forecast in an update yesterday and saying that the ending of El Niño, possible onset of La Niña, weaker vertical wind shear and trade winds, all suggest the most active season read the full article →

2016 hurricane season forecasts drop slightly on weaker La Niña

Having risen at the last forecast release at the start of July, the average forecast for activity in the 2016 Atlantic Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season has dropped after forecasters Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) reduced their prediction for the season. Both the TSR and the Colorado State University (CSU) forecaster Philip read the full article →

2016 hurricane forecast increased by Colorado State meteorologist

Once again forecasts for tropical storm and hurricane season activity in the Atlantic basin in 2016 are on the rise, with the Colorado State University (CSU) forecaster Philip J. Klotzbach increasing his forecast slightly. Klotzbach has added one tropical storm to his forecast, so taking it from 14 named tropical storms read the full article →

Warming Atlantic means higher hurricane forecast for 2016: Weather Company

A warming of north Atlantic ocean sea surface temperatures in the past month suggests a heightened chance of an active U.S. hurricane season in 2016, causing The Weather Company to increase its forecast numbers by one. The Weather Company, an IBM company and the largest private weather business, had previously forecast read the full article →