el nino

While early forecasts for this year’s Atlantic hurricane season appear mixed, Dr. Benjamin Hohermuth of Schroders Capital ILS suggests that for insurance-linked securities (ILS) portfolios, the regional message is far more important than basin-wide totals. This regional focus creates vital scope for portfolio repositioning ahead of the season and for tactical trading as conditions evolve.

Twelve Securis, the specialist catastrophe bond and insurance-linked securities (ILS) investment manager, has explained that it is “cautious, but optimistic about El Niño’s positive influence on risk” for the coming Atlantic hurricane season.

Coming off a record-breaking 2025, the catastrophe bond market has continued to expand further throughout the opening quarter of 2026, however as the sponsor base and rate of issuance continues to grow, this is creating a need for greater efficiency and more talent within the market, according to Jeff Davis, Partner and Chief Investment Officer, […]

With the development of La Nina conditions anticipated during this summer and its persistence through the autumn, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has called for the Northwest Pacific typhoon season to see activity levels around 20% below normal, albeit still with 15 typhoons, 7 of which are forecast to be intense.

The Northwest Pacific typhoon season is forecast to see above-normal levels of storm activity in 2023, with 13 intense typhoons predicted by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

For just the third time since records began, a triple dip La Niña has been declared by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), with impacts including above-average rainfall anticipated for some regions of the world.

The Northwest Pacific typhoon season, which is one of the peak zone perils for reinsurance, catastrophe bond and other insurance-linked securities (ILS), is forecast to see activity levels roughly 20% below-normal, as the effects of La Niña are increasingly expected to last through summer and into Autumn.

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has declared La Niña conditions for the Pacific ocean, highlighting that the event could cause weather impacts in Australia and more widely, which has ramifications for insurance and reinsurance market interests.

Forecasts for the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season have slowly been increasing, in terms of numbers of storms, as forecast teams have included the activity so far and taken into account that El Niño is now not expected to be an influence through the rest of this year.

Interesting news for anyone interested in the forecasts for Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane activity levels, which let’s face it includes the majority of the ILS and reinsurance markets. The chance of El Niño developing in the coming months appears to have dropped considerably, by one metric.