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Guy Carpenter Regional Property Catastrophe Rate-On-Line Index

Guy Carpenter Regional Property Rate on Line Index – this is the proprietary index of regional property catastrophe reinsurance Rate-on-Line movements, on brokered excess of loss placements, that has been maintained by Guy Carpenter since 1990. The index breaks down our the key catastrophe reinsurance markets of U.S., Europe, UK and Asia-Pacific. It is updated following January 1st renewals each year by calculating the change in ROL year on year across the same renewal base.

 

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Latest reinsurance renewal commentary from Guy Carpenter

January 1 2026 renewals update:

Property catastrophe reinsurance renewals saw rates falling again at the January 2026 contract signings, with a broad 12% decline in the Global Property Catastrophe Rate-On-Line Index calculated by Guy Carpenter.

Regionally there was some differentiation, with Europe seeing rates falling further than the United States.

US property catastrophe reinsurance rates-on-line decreased by 12% at January 1st 2026.

The US property cat RoL Index remains cumulatively some 70% higher than it was in 2017, the bottom of the last soft market.

Meanwhile, Continental European property catastrophe reinsurance rates-on-line decreased a little more, falling by 15% at the 1/1 2026 renewals, according to Guy Carpenter.

The Continental European property cat RoL Index is now up by 40% cumulatively since the soft catastrophe reinsurance market bottomed out in 2017.

In Asia Pacific (APAC), property catastrophe reinsurance rates fell by 12% on average at the January 1st 2026 renewals, leaving this index up by only 5% since the market bottomed out in 2018 for this region.

Note that, Guy Carpenter has rebased the APAC rate-on-line Index from 2004 in its latest data, while the UK Index is no longer being reported.

* Preliminary numbers.

The Guy Carpenter ROL index is a measure of the change in dollars paid for coverage year on year on a consistent program base.  The index reflects the pricing impact of a growing (or shrinking) exposure base, evolving methods of measuring risk and changes in buying habits, as well as changes in market conditions.  Unlike risk-adjusted measurements, the index is not dependent on the model or method used to measure the amount of perceived risk in a program, which can vary widely.

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