hurricane forecast

Making adjustments to the exposure of insurance-linked securities (ILS) portfolios based on inputs gleaned from the early July hurricane season forecast can drive opportunities to generate excess returns in reinsurance, according to a study from Euler ILS Partners and Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

The early forecasts and outlooks for the 2016 Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season seem to suggest a possible return towards more average conditions, with a 97% landfall probability for the U.S. coastline, as the current El Niño impacts may wane.

The first quantitative forecast for the 2014 Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season has been published by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR). The early forecast calls for Atlantic hurricane season activity to be near-normal during 2014.

The last of the forecasters who we follow on Artemis, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration or NOAA, has now published its forecast for the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season. The NOAA has joined all the other forecasters we follow by predicting an above average hurricane season.

Weather forecaster AccuWeather Inc. has joined other forecasters of tropical cyclone and hurricane activity in predicting a 2013 Atlantic hurricane season with above average levels of activity. Every forecaster that we have covered so far this year has called for levels of tropical storm and hurricane activity above the long-term average and now that we […]

Another of the well-respected hurricane forecasters has published its predictions for the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season and, like the forecasters we covered the other day, they call for an active season with a heightened risk of landfalling hurricanes on the U.S. coastline. This forecast is from the Colorado State University Department of Atmospheric Science, led […]

The 2013 Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season begins on the 1st of June and runs until the end of November. As ever, around this time of the year the forthcoming hurricane season features more heavily in insurance and reinsurance firms and catastrophe bond & ILS investors thoughts as the season approaches and the first […]

Tropical Storm Risk, a research group backed by Aon Benfield, RSA and Crawford & Company, have stuck with their prediction for an above normal activity Atlantic hurricane season in 2011 and have slightly increased their prediction for the number of storms expected to form. Their last prediction (from April) can be found here, and our […]

The latest 2011 hurricane prediction and forecast for Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane activity has been published by the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center – a division of the U.S. National Weather Service. We thought it would be interesting to compare this most recent forecast of Atlantic hurricane activity with those we’ve covered previously.