Atlantic Hurricane Season

The government of Jamaica has raised a hurricane watch for what is currently tropical storm Melissa and with the National Hurricane Center warning that “significant strengthening is expected” and some forecast models showing a particularly intense storm nearing the island, it brings the country’s World Bank catastrophe bond and parametric insurance into focus.

According to a recent commentary from Man Group, the global alternative and active investment manager, the rising frequency of rapid intensification is posing new challenges for catastrophe bond investors.

Hurricane Imelda has strengthened as it bears down on Bermuda today, with the National Hurricane Center now reporting current sustained winds of 100 mph and some additional intensification as possible before the storm passes close to the island tonight.

The tropics continue to become more active and Invest 94L, which is anticipated to become tropical storm Imelda in the next day or so, is seen as a potential US landfall threat. Some forecast models suggest a low-category hurricane landfall on the southeast coastline, with the Carolinas seen as one possible outcome. It is early […]

Were the 1926 Great Miami hurricane to occur again today, analysis from catastrophe risk modelling specialists Karen Clark & Company (KCC) suggests that more than $5 trillion in insured property value would be affected by hurricane force winds, driving well over $200 billion in insurance and reinsurance market losses.

Hurricane Erin is now in the Atlantic, notably the first tropical storm to achieve hurricane status this season. Catastrophe bond and insurance-linked securities fund manager Twelve Securis has highlighted that there is a strong consensus among the models that Erin will stay far enough away from the US coastline to avoid any significant impacts.

The fifth named tropical storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has now formed, as Erin has now been named. The US National Hurricane Center forecast cone suggests we could see hurricane Erin by Wednesday and a potential major hurricane Erin by this weekend, but with its exact direction of travel very uncertain at this […]

Conditions in the Atlantic tropics now look more favourable than they did one month ago, which has led Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) to slightly increase its forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, with activity levels now anticipated to be around 15% above normal.

While the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is projected to be more active than average, the fundamentals of the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market remain strong, according to François Divet, Head of ILS at AXA Investment Managers (AXA IM).

The Colorado State University (CSU) tropical meteorology team has lowered its forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season slightly on all counts, citing strong observed and forecast Caribbean wind shear as an inhibitor to Atlantic hurricane activity, but continuing to predict an above-normal level of activity.