Atlantic Hurricane Season

Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has now issued its April forecast update for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, reducing its extended range numbers from December and citing an expectation of moderate to strong El Nino conditions.

The Colorado State University (CSU) tropical meteorology team has issued its first forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, calling for “somewhat below-normal” levels of activity, citing the potential for a robust El Niño and associated increases in vertical wind shear as key factors.

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will be shaped by shifting climate patterns in the Pacific, as a developing El Niño may influence and perhaps depress tropical storm formation, but a forecast from Accuweather highlights the potential for rapid intensification and warns of three to five direct storm impacts on the United States.

Before the Atlantic hurricane season begins each year, forecasters release activity predictions that can have some influence on reinsurance pricing. However, a recent commentary from global alternative and active investment manager Man Group challenges the accuracy of these forecasts, questioning both their reliability and the benchmarks used to measure success.

According to a recent report from Willis, a division of WTW, natural catastrophe events generated over $100 billion in insured losses in 2025. This marks the sixth consecutive year that losses have exceeded this amount, highlighting the ongoing severity and persistence of natural catastrophe risk, despite the fact that no single hurricane made landfall in […]

Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has issued its extended range forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, saying it currently anticipates activity levels around the 30-year norm, projecting 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.

Reflecting on the impacts of Hurricane Melissa, Jamaica’s Prime Minister Dr. Andrew Holness has stressed the importance and effectiveness of responsive disaster risk financing instruments in reducing the country’s debt burden in the aftermath of the hurricane.

Reflecting on Hurricane Melissa’s impacts on Jamaica, Hon. Andre Ebanks, MP, Premier & Minister for Financial Services and Commerce, of the Cayman Islands, said that the British Overseas Territory should also look to financial instruments such as catastrophe bonds for future protection.

The World Bank has announced today that following the events of Hurricane Melissa, the Government of Jamaica will receive a full 100% payout of its $150 million IBRD CAR Jamaica 2024 parametric catastrophe bond.

Moody’s RMS Event Response has provided a best estimate for the insurance and reinsurance industry losses from recent hurricane Melissa of $3.5 billion, with a range of between $3 billion and $5 billion anticipated.