2024 hurricane season

Public and private insurance market losses from all perils associated with hurricane Helene “will likely reach at least into the higher single-digit billions,” according to Aon’s Impact Forecasting division.

In conversations with sources in the reinsurance, catastrophe bond and insurance-linked securities (ILS) investments space, it seems some nerves are beginning to emerge over hurricane Helene’s potential to attach certain contracts, as data points begin to suggest a growing claims burden that could result in industry losses creeping higher.

The insurance industry loss from hurricane Helene is estimated to be close to $6.4 billion by Karen Clark & Company (KCC), with the company saying this includes wind, storm surge, and inland flooding impacts across nine states.

Investment manager Twelve Capital has issued an updated event report related to hurricane Helene’s impacts, saying that it still believes direct losses to per-occurrence catastrophe bonds are unlikely, but also notes that it is closely monitoring the NFIP FloodSmart Re cat bonds that cover named storm induced flooding.

According to analysis from ICEYE, the provider of satellite data and services to inform decision-making and analysis, hurricane Helene’s flooding saw over 100,000 buildings impacted, with more than 10,000 of those being inundated to flood depths of greater than 5 feet.

According to analysts at RBC Capital Markets, given the wide-reaching impacts from hurricane Helene running from its landfall in Florida right the way through to catastrophic flooding in North Carolina, the eventual insurance market loss could even run into the double-digit billions of dollars.

Despite the fact reinsurance markets have typically retrenched higher-up after increases to attachments and raised prices through the recent hard market period, after hurricane Helene the dependence of specialist Florida property insurance carriers on their reinsurers remains a focus, according to AM Best.

This morning, we’re told that the significant flooding from rains associated with hurricane Helene throughout southeastern parts of the United States are bringing FEMA’s National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) reinsurance tower and catastrophe bonds into some focus, although there is uncertainty over how a predecessor rainfall event prior to the storm even making landfall could […]

Reinsurance broker Gallagher Re now expects that private insurance market losses from hurricane Helene will rise to the mid-to-high single-digit billion dollar level, higher than its initial pre-landfall forecast of $3 billion to $6 billion, according to Chief Science Officer and Meteorologist Steve Bowen.

The damage price tag from hurricane Helene’s impacts on the United States is expected to fall in a range from $20 billion to as high as $34 billion, with property damage a significant component at $15 billion to $26 billion, Moody’s Analytics has said.